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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-11 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,448 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.43) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,607.58 (+4.3%) | 6.0 | 2.4% | 14h | 22.1d ago · 44× | 11% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±14 | 24% ±34 | 46% ±56 | > 7d | — | — | 107 → 3 |
| HVN zone | 4,598.6–4,607.58 (+4.1%) | 5.8 | 2.4% | 14h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 16% ±24 | 63% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 2% ±3 | 16% ±23 | 34% ±54 | 34% | > 7d | 2.69% | 1.55% | 58 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,415.51 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 4,409.54 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 3.9% | 1.3d | 14.5d ago · 55× | 85% ±26 | 63% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 77% ±13 | 86% ±25 | 86% ±48 | 86% | 1h | 2.94% | 1.70% | 42 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,390.16 (-0.6%) | 0.8 | 3.8% | 1.2d | 4.0d ago · 65× | 86% ±34 | 50% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 72% ±16 | 86% ±30 | 90% ±42 | 90% | 1h | 2.92% | 1.61% | 30 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,302.88 (-2.6%) | 3.5 | 5.8% | 2.7d | 3.7d ago · 106× | 43% ±25 | 62% ±19 | 4% ±8 | 34% ±19 | 25 | 9% ±6 | 42% ±24 | 65% ±42 | 76% ±59 | 1.7d | 3.11% | 1.28% | 96 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 4,269.4–4,279.69 (-3.1%) | 4.3 | 4.1% | 1.4d | 3.6d ago · 85× | 23% ±16 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 5% ±3 | 22% ±16 | 42% ±32 | 62% ±48 | 4.1d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 155 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-3.8%) | 5.3 | 1.5% | 9h | 2.0d ago · 31× | 5% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±11 | 5% ±19 | 5% ±30 | > 7d | — | — | 84 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.