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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-12 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,598.6 (+1.8%) | 2.3 | 2.4% | 14h | 22.1d ago · 44× | 53% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 18% ±11 | 53% ±35 | 66% ±54 | 81% | 21h | — | — | 47 → 1 |
| at post · 4,516.29 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,257.49–4,481.9 (-0.8%) | 1.0 | 2.8% | 21h | 1.1d ago · 85× | 77% ±25 | 45% ±24 | 25% ±21 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 63% ±11 | 77% ±24 | 80% ±40 | 85% ±49 | 2h | 2.66% | 1.52% | 69 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 4,408.1–4,412.27 (-2.3%) | 2.9 | 4.3% | 1.4d | 4.1d ago · 65× | 34% ±31 | 57% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 38% ±24 | 16 | 12% ±8 | 34% ±29 | 60% ±55 | 63% | 2.2d | 2.93% | 1.66% | 57 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 4,267.88–4,300.37 (-4.8%) | 6.0 | 6.6% | 3.1d | 3.6d ago · 106× | 17% ±13 | 63% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 30% ±18 | 25 | 3% ±2 | 16% ±13 | 35% ±29 | 53% ±49 | 5.2d | 3.02% | 1.17% | 185 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-5.9%) | 7.5 | 1.7% | 10h | 2.1d ago · 31× | 2% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 115 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.