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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-12 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,448 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.43) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,598.6 (+1.6%) | 2.4 | 2.1% | 12h | 22.0d ago · 44× | 52% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 18% ±11 | 51% ±35 | 64% ±54 | 80% | 23h | — | — | 47 → 1 |
| at post · 4,524.97 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,257.49–4,481.9 (-1.0%) | 1.4 | 2.4% | 18h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 65% ±31 | 45% ±24 | 25% ±21 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 45% ±13 | 65% ±31 | 76% ±48 | 83% | 6h | 2.66% | 1.52% | 56 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 4,401.26–4,415.83 (-2.4%) | 3.6 | 3.6% | 1.2d | 3.9d ago · 65× | 26% ±24 | 58% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 37% ±23 | 17 | 9% ±6 | 25% ±24 | 48% ±49 | 53% ±69 | 2.5d | 2.94% | 1.68% | 80 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,300.37 (-5.0%) | 7.3 | 5.7% | 2.7d | 3.6d ago · 106× | 12% ±14 | 62% ±19 | 4% ±8 | 34% ±19 | 25 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±14 | 28% ±33 | 44% ±56 | 4.4d | 3.11% | 1.28% | 121 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 4,267.88–4,280.36 (-5.4%) | 8.0 | 4.0% | 1.4d | 3.5d ago · 85× | 8% ±10 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±9 | 20% ±25 | 39% ±48 | > 7d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 180 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-6.1%) | 9.0 | 1.5% | 9h | 1.9d ago · 31× | 2% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 136 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.