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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-12 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,589.63 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 2.1% | 13h | 22.2d ago · 44× | 88% ±32 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 71% ±19 | 88% ±32 | 92% | 92% | 1h | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| at post · 4,573.66 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,257.49–4,481.9 (-2.0%) | 3.0 | 2.4% | 18h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 50% ±35 | 45% ±24 | 25% ±21 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 15% ±10 | 50% ±35 | 69% ±52 | 73% | 1.0d | 2.66% | 1.52% | 46 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 4,408.02–4,419.67 (-3.4%) | 5.0 | 3.5% | 1.2d | 4.1d ago · 65× | 16% ±18 | 58% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 37% ±23 | 17 | 4% ±4 | 15% ±18 | 34% ±41 | 38% ±67 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.68% | 95 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 4,296.27–4,303.35 (-5.9%) | 8.9 | 5.7% | 2.6d | 3.8d ago · 106× | 7% ±10 | 62% ±19 | 4% ±8 | 34% ±19 | 25 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±10 | 18% ±27 | 31% ±52 | > 7d | 3.11% | 1.28% | 139 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 4,269.67–4,279.34 (-6.4%) | 9.6 | 3.9% | 1.4d | 3.7d ago · 85× | 5% ±8 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 13% ±21 | 30% ±45 | > 7d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 173 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-7.1%) | 11 | 1.5% | 9h | 2.1d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | — | — | 149 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.