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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-12 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 4,668.37 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 4,589.63 (-1.7%) | 2.2 | 2.5% | 16h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 44% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 22% ±20 | 44% ±56 | 61% | 67% | 1.5d | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 4,257.49–4,481.9 (-4.0%) | 5.3 | 2.8% | 21h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 27% ±27 | 45% ±24 | 25% ±21 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 8% ±7 | 27% ±27 | 42% ±56 | 43% | > 7d | 2.66% | 1.52% | 59 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 4,417.93–4,424.08 (-5.2%) | 6.9 | 3.8% | 1.3d | 4.2d ago · 65× | 8% ±15 | 58% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 37% ±23 | 17 | 3% ±3 | 8% ±14 | 24% ±38 | 34% ±65 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.68% | 81 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,302.47 (-7.8%) | 10 | 6.6% | 3.0d | 3.8d ago · 106× | 3% ±7 | 62% ±19 | 4% ±8 | 34% ±19 | 25 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±7 | 11% ±21 | 22% ±41 | > 7d | 3.11% | 1.28% | 152 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 4,267.13–4,278.35 (-8.4%) | 11 | 4.4% | 1.5d | 3.8d ago · 85× | 3% ±5 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 8% ±16 | 21% ±36 | > 7d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 194 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-9.0%) | 12 | 1.7% | 10h | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±7 | > 7d | — | — | 172 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.