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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-13 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 4,703.43 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 4,589.63 (-2.4%) | 3.1 | 2.6% | 16h | 8.0d ago · 38× | 12% ±31 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 7% ±10 | 11% ±31 | 46% | 58% | 6.6d | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 4,257.49–4,481.9 (-4.7%) | 6.0 | 2.9% | 22h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 20% ±23 | 45% ±24 | 25% ±21 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 6% ±6 | 20% ±22 | 32% ±46 | 33% ±65 | > 7d | 2.66% | 1.52% | 75 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 4,423.29–4,426.7 (-5.9%) | 7.5 | 3.9% | 1.2d | 4.1d ago · 65× | 5% ±13 | 58% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 37% ±23 | 17 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±12 | 20% ±39 | 29% ±63 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.68% | 75 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,302.15 (-8.5%) | 11 | 6.8% | 3.1d | 3.8d ago · 106× | 2% ±6 | 62% ±19 | 4% ±8 | 34% ±19 | 25 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 8% ±18 | 22% ±40 | > 7d | 3.11% | 1.28% | 155 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 4,267.7–4,276.28 (-9.1%) | 12 | 4.3% | 1.4d | 3.7d ago · 85× | 2% ±4 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 7% ±15 | 19% ±35 | > 7d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 204 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-9.7%) | 12 | 1.8% | 10h | 2.1d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±7 | > 7d | — | — | 184 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.