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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-13 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,448 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.43) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 4,740.37 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 4,589.63 (-3.2%) | 3.9 | 2.7% | 17h | 7.8d ago · 38× | 8% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 5% ±7 | 7% ±19 | 33% ±65 | 54% | 6.6d | — | — | 39 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 4,257.49–4,481.9 (-5.5%) | 6.8 | 3.0% | 23h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 8% ±14 | 48% ±23 | 24% ±20 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±14 | 16% ±32 | 17% ±52 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.45% | 88 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 4,430.49–4,433.72 (-6.5%) | 8.0 | 3.7% | 1.1d | 3.9d ago · 65× | 5% ±12 | 58% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 37% ±23 | 17 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±11 | 19% ±39 | 29% ±63 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.68% | 76 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,299.46 (-9.3%) | 12 | 7.1% | 3.3d | 3.6d ago · 106× | 2% ±6 | 62% ±19 | 4% ±8 | 34% ±19 | 25 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 6% ±17 | 20% ±39 | > 7d | 3.11% | 1.28% | 151 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 4,269.32–4,278.62 (-9.7%) | 12 | 4.9% | 1.7d | 3.5d ago · 85× | 2% ±4 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±14 | 18% ±34 | > 7d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 211 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-10.4%) | 13 | 1.9% | 11h | 1.9d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±6 | > 7d | — | — | 192 → 5 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.