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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-13 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 4,621.38 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 4,580.65 (-0.9%) | 1.0 | 2.4% | 15h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 82% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 64% ±21 | 82% ±44 | 82% | 82% | 2h | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 4,257.49–4,481.9 (-3.0%) | 3.5 | 3.2% | 24h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 48% ±37 | 48% ±23 | 24% ±20 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 13% ±10 | 47% ±35 | 67% ±53 | 69% | 1.1d | 2.71% | 1.45% | 45 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,461.98 (-3.4%) | 4.0 | 4.0% | 1.5d | 4.1d ago · 65× | 22% ±23 | 50% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 6% ±5 | 22% ±23 | 43% ±49 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | 2.92% | 1.61% | 80 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,436.12 (-4.0%) | 4.6 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 14.6d ago · 55× | 15% ±27 | 65% ±23 | 5% ±10 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 4% ±6 | 15% ±24 | 39% ±55 | 48% | > 7d | 2.95% | 1.75% | 46 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,303.78 (-6.9%) | 8.0 | 7.7% | 3.3d | 3.8d ago · 106× | 10% ±12 | 62% ±19 | 4% ±8 | 34% ±19 | 25 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±12 | 23% ±29 | 38% ±55 | > 7d | 3.11% | 1.28% | 135 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 4,248.51–4,272.99 (-7.5%) | 8.7 | 4.3% | 1.3d | 2.1d ago · 85× | 4% ±7 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 12% ±20 | 25% ±42 | > 7d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 184 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.