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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-13 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,448 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.43) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 4,655.19 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 4,580.65 (-1.6%) | 2.1 | 2.1% | 14h | 7.8d ago · 38× | 44% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 20% ±18 | 40% ±55 | 58% | 64% | 2.2d | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 4,487 (-3.6%) | 4.7 | 2.4% | 16h | 3.9d ago · 65× | 16% ±19 | 50% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 4% ±4 | 16% ±19 | 35% ±42 | 38% ±67 | > 7d | 2.92% | 1.61% | 92 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,257.49–4,481.9 (-3.7%) | 4.8 | 2.8% | 21h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 36% ±33 | 48% ±23 | 24% ±20 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 9% ±8 | 34% ±31 | 51% ±57 | 53% | 2.8d | 2.71% | 1.45% | 54 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,436.12 (-4.7%) | 6.1 | 3.5% | 24h | 14.4d ago · 55× | 8% ±16 | 65% ±23 | 5% ±10 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 3% ±4 | 8% ±15 | 18% ±38 | 34% ±66 | > 7d | 2.95% | 1.75% | 76 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,303.85 (-7.5%) | 9.8 | 6.9% | 3.0d | 3.6d ago · 106× | 3% ±7 | 62% ±19 | 4% ±8 | 34% ±19 | 25 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 11% ±21 | 23% ±41 | > 7d | 3.11% | 1.28% | 156 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 4,248.51–4,272.99 (-8.2%) | 11 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 1.9d ago · 85× | 2% ±5 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 7% ±16 | 17% ±36 | > 7d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 187 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.