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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-14 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 4,595.14 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 4,589.63 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 1.7% | 12h | 7.7d ago · 38× | 87% ±47 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 75% ±23 | 88% ±46 | 88% | 88% | 1h | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 4,537.74 (-1.2%) | 2.2 | 1.4% | 9h | 3.8d ago · 65× | 57% ±40 | 50% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 31% ±16 | 57% ±40 | 69% ±64 | 69% | 22h | 2.92% | 1.61% | 33 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,257.49–4,481.9 (-2.5%) | 4.3 | 2.0% | 15h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 43% ±34 | 48% ±23 | 24% ±20 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 11% ±8 | 41% ±32 | 60% ±55 | 60% | 1.7d | 2.71% | 1.45% | 55 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,441.74 (-3.3%) | 5.8 | 2.4% | 17h | 14.3d ago · 55× | 8% ±15 | 65% ±23 | 5% ±10 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 2% ±3 | 8% ±15 | 21% ±40 | 34% ±66 | > 7d | 2.95% | 1.75% | 78 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,304.98 (-6.3%) | 11 | 5.3% | 2.2d | 3.5d ago · 106× | 2% ±6 | 62% ±19 | 4% ±8 | 34% ±19 | 25 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 8% ±17 | 21% ±40 | > 7d | 3.11% | 1.28% | 166 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 4,272.45–4,272.99 (-7.0%) | 12 | 3.0% | 20h | 3.4d ago · 85× | 2% ±4 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±13 | 18% ±34 | > 7d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 220 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-7.5%) | 13 | 1.3% | 7h | 1.8d ago · 31× | 1% ±2 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 0% ±4 | 0% ±6 | > 7d | — | — | 201 → 5 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | long | 4,595.14 | 4,612.07 | 4,297.88 | target | -2.22% |