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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-14 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 4,614.93 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 4,589.63 (-0.5%) | 0.9 | 1.8% | 12h | 7.7d ago · 38× | 81% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 67% ±20 | 83% ±37 | 83% | 83% | 2h | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 4,546.15 (-1.5%) | 2.6 | 1.4% | 9h | 3.8d ago · 65× | 47% ±35 | 50% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 19% ±11 | 47% ±33 | 64% ±54 | 64% | 1.2d | 2.92% | 1.61% | 51 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,257.49–4,481.9 (-2.9%) | 5.0 | 2.0% | 15h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 28% ±29 | 48% ±23 | 24% ±20 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 8% ±7 | 26% ±27 | 42% ±56 | 44% | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.45% | 62 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,441.74 (-3.8%) | 6.5 | 2.4% | 16h | 14.3d ago · 55× | 8% ±14 | 65% ±23 | 5% ±10 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±14 | 17% ±33 | 36% ±66 | > 7d | 2.95% | 1.75% | 83 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,311.98 (-6.6%) | 11 | 5.1% | 2.0d | 3.5d ago · 106× | 1% ±4 | 61% ±19 | 4% ±7 | 36% ±19 | 25 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 27% ±50 | > 7d | 3.30% | 1.22% | 112 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,298.3 (-6.9%) | 12 | 5.4% | 2.4d | 3.5d ago · 85× | 2% ±6 | 63% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 32% ±20 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 7% ±17 | 17% ±37 | > 7d | 2.98% | 1.32% | 160 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,272.99–4,275 (-7.4%) | 13 | 3.2% | 22h | 3.4d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 5% ±12 | 16% ±32 | > 7d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 223 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-7.9%) | 14 | 1.4% | 7h | 1.8d ago · 31× | 0% ±2 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 0% ±4 | 0% ±6 | > 7d | — | — | 214 → 5 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.