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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-15 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 4,599.69 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 4,589.63 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 2.0% | 14h | 8.0d ago · 38× | 88% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 80% ±18 | 90% ±34 | 90% | 90% | 2h | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 4,560.94 (-0.8%) | 1.3 | 1.5% | 9h | 4.1d ago · 65× | 66% ±42 | 50% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 45% ±18 | 64% ±42 | 74% ±61 | 74% | 6h | 2.92% | 1.61% | 31 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,257.49–4,481.9 (-2.6%) | 4.1 | 2.1% | 16h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 40% ±34 | 48% ±23 | 24% ±20 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 11% ±9 | 39% ±32 | 61% ±55 | 61% | 1.7d | 2.71% | 1.45% | 52 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,441.74 (-3.4%) | 5.4 | 2.5% | 17h | 14.6d ago · 55× | 11% ±18 | 65% ±23 | 5% ±10 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 3% ±4 | 10% ±17 | 25% ±43 | 35% ±66 | > 7d | 2.95% | 1.75% | 70 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,311.98 (-6.3%) | 9.9 | 5.5% | 2.1d | 3.8d ago · 106× | 3% ±6 | 62% ±19 | 4% ±8 | 34% ±19 | 25 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 10% ±20 | 22% ±41 | > 7d | 3.11% | 1.28% | 166 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,272.99–4,275 (-7.1%) | 11 | 3.5% | 1.0d | 3.7d ago · 85× | 2% ±5 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 8% ±15 | 21% ±36 | > 7d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 209 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-7.6%) | 12 | 1.5% | 8h | 2.1d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±6 | > 7d | — | — | 191 → 5 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.