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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-15 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,448 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.43) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 4,640.98 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 4,585.59–4,598.6 (-0.9%) | 1.5 | 2.0% | 14h | 3.9d ago · 65× | 61% ±43 | 50% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 39% ±17 | 62% ±43 | 72% ±62 | 72% | 15h | 2.92% | 1.61% | 32 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,257.49–4,481.9 (-3.4%) | 5.5 | 2.0% | 16h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 22% ±23 | 48% ±23 | 24% ±20 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 6% ±5 | 21% ±22 | 35% ±47 | 37% ±67 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.45% | 77 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,441.74 (-4.3%) | 6.9 | 2.4% | 16h | 14.4d ago · 55× | 7% ±14 | 65% ±23 | 5% ±10 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±13 | 16% ±32 | 32% ±64 | > 7d | 2.95% | 1.75% | 87 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,326.76 (-6.8%) | 11 | 5.0% | 1.6d | 3.6d ago · 106× | 2% ±6 | 61% ±19 | 4% ±7 | 36% ±19 | 25 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 2% ±10 | 26% ±50 | > 7d | 3.30% | 1.22% | 119 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,298.3 (-7.4%) | 12 | 5.9% | 2.6d | 3.6d ago · 85× | 2% ±6 | 63% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 32% ±20 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 7% ±17 | 17% ±37 | > 7d | 2.98% | 1.32% | 162 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,267.37–4,275 (-7.9%) | 13 | 3.5% | 1.0d | 3.5d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 5% ±11 | 16% ±32 | > 7d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 225 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-8.5%) | 14 | 1.5% | 8h | 1.9d ago · 31× | 0% ±2 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 0% ±4 | 0% ±6 | > 7d | — | — | 217 → 5 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.