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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-15 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,595.45–4,598.6 (+1.9%) | 2.5 | 2.5% | 17h | 3.8d ago · 97× | 55% ±22 | 46% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 13% ±6 | 55% ±22 | 67% ±35 | 85% ±40 | 20h | 1.94% | 1.84% | 118 → 3 | |
| at post · 4,508.27 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,257.49–4,481.9 (-0.6%) | 0.8 | 2.4% | 19h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 78% ±25 | 48% ±23 | 24% ±20 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 67% ±11 | 78% ±25 | 81% ±39 | 87% ±47 | 2h | 2.71% | 1.45% | 65 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,447.37 (-1.4%) | 1.8 | 2.7% | 19h | 14.3d ago · 55× | 65% ±38 | 65% ±23 | 5% ±10 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 38% ±16 | 65% ±38 | 76% ±59 | 76% | 7h | 2.95% | 1.75% | 35 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 4,326.76 (-4.0%) | 5.2 | 5.9% | 1.9d | 3.5d ago · 106× | 18% ±18 | 61% ±19 | 4% ±7 | 36% ±19 | 25 | 4% ±4 | 18% ±18 | 35% ±38 | 59% ±56 | 4.8d | 3.30% | 1.22% | 106 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,298.3 (-4.7%) | 6.1 | 6.9% | 3.0d | 3.5d ago · 85× | 22% ±19 | 63% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 32% ±20 | 21 | 3% ±3 | 22% ±19 | 43% ±40 | 54% ±56 | 3.1d | 2.98% | 1.32% | 116 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,267.37–4,275 (-5.2%) | 6.7 | 4.1% | 1.2d | 3.4d ago · 85× | 11% ±11 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±11 | 25% ±27 | 46% ±49 | > 7d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 186 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-5.8%) | 7.5 | 1.8% | 10h | 1.8d ago · 31× | 2% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 119 → 3 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 4,508.27 | 4,326.76 | 4,653.13 | expired | -0.03% |
| 30d | VAH | short | 4,508.27 | 4,297.88 | 4,661.62 | expired | -0.03% |