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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-15 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,595.45–4,598.6 (+2.3%) | 2.9 | 2.5% | 18h | 4.2d ago · 97× | 51% ±21 | 46% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 10% ±5 | 50% ±21 | 64% ±36 | 83% ±43 | 1.0d | 1.94% | 1.84% | 130 → 3 | |
| at post · 4,493.14 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,257.49–4,481.9 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 2.6% | 20h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 82% ±24 | 48% ±23 | 24% ±20 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 71% ±11 | 82% ±24 | 84% ±42 | 90% | 1h | 2.71% | 1.45% | 60 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,464.24 (-0.6%) | 0.8 | 3.3% | 1.2d | 14.7d ago · 55× | 83% ±24 | 65% ±23 | 5% ±10 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 64% ±13 | 82% ±25 | 84% ±42 | 84% | 1h | 2.95% | 1.75% | 54 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 4,425.37 (-1.5%) | 1.9 | 3.3% | 1.0d | 3.8d ago · 106× | 59% ±29 | 61% ±19 | 4% ±7 | 36% ±19 | 25 | 24% ±10 | 59% ±29 | 72% ±44 | 81% ±54 | 15h | 3.30% | 1.22% | 66 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,298.3 (-4.3%) | 5.5 | 7.0% | 3.1d | 3.8d ago · 85× | 28% ±20 | 63% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 32% ±20 | 21 | 4% ±3 | 28% ±20 | 51% ±37 | 59% ±56 | 4.7d | 2.98% | 1.32% | 119 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 4,248.51–4,275 (-4.9%) | 6.1 | 4.3% | 1.3d | 2.2d ago · 85× | 10% ±11 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±11 | 22% ±26 | 39% ±48 | 5.9d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 178 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.