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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-15 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,448 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.43) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,595.45–4,598.6 (+1.9%) | 2.4 | 2.6% | 18h | 4.1d ago · 97× | 55% ±24 | 46% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 15% ±7 | 55% ±23 | 68% ±37 | 85% ±40 | 20h | 1.94% | 1.84% | 106 → 3 | |
| at post · 4,508.53 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,257.49–4,481.9 (-0.6%) | 0.7 | 2.7% | 22h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 77% ±25 | 48% ±23 | 24% ±20 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 67% ±11 | 78% ±24 | 81% ±38 | 90% ±42 | 1h | 2.71% | 1.45% | 67 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,469.87 (-0.9%) | 1.1 | 3.3% | 1.2d | 14.5d ago · 55× | 81% ±26 | 65% ±23 | 5% ±10 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 62% ±12 | 79% ±25 | 85% ±40 | 85% | 3h | 2.95% | 1.75% | 59 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 4,425.37 (-1.8%) | 2.3 | 3.3% | 24h | 3.7d ago · 106× | 51% ±28 | 61% ±19 | 4% ±7 | 36% ±19 | 25 | 19% ±9 | 51% ±27 | 70% ±45 | 80% ±55 | 1.0d | 3.30% | 1.22% | 75 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,298.3 (-4.7%) | 5.8 | 7.2% | 3.1d | 3.7d ago · 85× | 24% ±19 | 63% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 32% ±20 | 21 | 4% ±3 | 24% ±19 | 46% ±37 | 56% ±56 | 5.3d | 2.98% | 1.32% | 122 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 4,248.51–4,275 (-5.2%) | 6.4 | 4.3% | 1.3d | 2.0d ago · 85× | 10% ±11 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±10 | 21% ±25 | 37% ±47 | 6.5d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 183 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.