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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-16 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,738.42 (+5.0%) | 6.5 | 1.4% | 11h | 3.8d ago · 97× | 18% ±16 | 46% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 1% ±2 | 18% ±16 | 36% ±33 | 68% ±53 | 4.5d | 1.94% | 1.84% | 140 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,598.6 (+1.9%) | 2.5 | 2.5% | 17h | 21.9d ago · 44× | 56% ±32 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 16% ±9 | 54% ±33 | 66% ±54 | 79% | 19h | — | — | 56 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 4,523.97 (+0.3%) | 0.3 | 2.5% | 18h | 3.6d ago · 104× | 95% ±14 | 54% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 38% ±21 | 21 | 78% ±11 | 95% ±14 | 97% ±21 | 98% | 1h | 2.17% | 1.44% | 56 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,511.89 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,257.49–4,481.9 (-0.7%) | 0.9 | 2.6% | 21h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 76% ±25 | 48% ±23 | 24% ±20 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 64% ±11 | 76% ±24 | 79% ±40 | 87% ±46 | 2h | 2.71% | 1.45% | 72 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,472.08 (-0.9%) | 1.1 | 3.1% | 1.2d | 14.3d ago · 55× | 81% ±26 | 65% ±23 | 5% ±10 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 59% ±13 | 78% ±26 | 84% ±41 | 84% | 3h | 2.95% | 1.75% | 59 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,393.32 (-2.6%) | 3.4 | 3.8% | 1.1d | 3.4d ago · 85× | 28% ±19 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 9% ±5 | 28% ±19 | 44% ±37 | 57% ±56 | 4.9d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 127 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,299.46 (-4.7%) | 6.1 | 6.9% | 3.0d | 3.5d ago · 85× | 22% ±19 | 63% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 32% ±20 | 21 | 3% ±3 | 22% ±18 | 42% ±37 | 53% ±56 | 3.1d | 2.98% | 1.32% | 119 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 4,248.51–4,263.84 (-5.5%) | 7.2 | 2.8% | 16h | 1.8d ago · 59× | 6% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±10 | 15% ±25 | 26% ±49 | > 7d | — | — | 145 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.