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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-16 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,448 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.43) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,738.42 (+4.9%) | 6.5 | 1.3% | 11h | 4.0d ago · 97× | 18% ±16 | 46% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 1% ±2 | 18% ±15 | 36% ±33 | 68% ±53 | 4.5d | 1.94% | 1.84% | 141 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,598.6 (+1.8%) | 2.4 | 2.4% | 17h | 22.0d ago · 44× | 56% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 16% ±10 | 53% ±33 | 66% ±54 | 81% | 21h | — | — | 53 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 4,523.97 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.5% | 21h | 3.8d ago · 104× | 96% ±12 | 54% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 38% ±21 | 21 | 85% ±10 | 96% ±12 | 98% ±15 | 98% | 1h | 2.17% | 1.44% | 52 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,517.33 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,257.49–4,481.9 (-0.8%) | 1.0 | 2.5% | 20h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 72% ±25 | 48% ±23 | 24% ±20 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 60% ±11 | 74% ±24 | 78% ±41 | 87% ±47 | 3h | 2.71% | 1.45% | 75 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,477.56 (-0.9%) | 1.2 | 2.7% | 23h | 14.4d ago · 55× | 80% ±26 | 65% ±23 | 5% ±10 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 57% ±13 | 77% ±26 | 83% ±42 | 83% | 3h | 2.95% | 1.75% | 59 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,398.25 (-2.6%) | 3.5 | 3.6% | 24h | 3.5d ago · 85× | 28% ±19 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 9% ±5 | 28% ±19 | 43% ±37 | 58% ±56 | 4.9d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 126 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,299.46 (-4.8%) | 6.4 | 6.8% | 3.0d | 3.6d ago · 85× | 19% ±17 | 63% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 32% ±20 | 21 | 2% ±3 | 19% ±17 | 39% ±36 | 49% ±57 | 4.1d | 2.98% | 1.32% | 122 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 4,248.51–4,263.84 (-5.6%) | 7.4 | 2.8% | 15h | 1.9d ago · 59× | 6% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±9 | 14% ±24 | 24% ±42 | > 7d | — | — | 147 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.