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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-16 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,448 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.43) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,738.42 (+5.1%) | 7.7 | 1.2% | 10h | 4.0d ago · 97× | 7% ±11 | 46% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±11 | 28% ±33 | 63% ±55 | 5.4d | 1.94% | 1.84% | 117 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,598.6 (+2.0%) | 3.0 | 2.1% | 15h | 22.1d ago · 44× | 47% ±31 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 8% ±6 | 44% ±29 | 58% ±48 | 76% ±59 | 1.5d | — | — | 64 → 2 |
| 7D POC | 4,523.97 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 2.3% | 19h | 3.8d ago · 104× | 91% ±17 | 54% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 38% ±21 | 21 | 75% ±11 | 91% ±17 | 94% ±23 | 99% ±17 | 1h | 2.17% | 1.44% | 65 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,517.81–4,526.79 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 2.3% | 21h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 77% ±34 | 59% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 69% ±15 | 77% ±34 | 90% ±42 | 90% | 1h | 2.62% | 1.70% | 37 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,509.52 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 4,483.04 (-0.6%) | 0.9 | 2.0% | 16h | 14.5d ago · 55× | 82% ±25 | 65% ±23 | 5% ±10 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 60% ±12 | 78% ±26 | 82% ±43 | 82% | 2h | 2.95% | 1.75% | 61 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,257.49–4,472.93 (-0.8%) | 1.2 | 2.5% | 22h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 63% ±30 | 48% ±23 | 24% ±20 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 48% ±12 | 66% ±28 | 73% ±43 | 84% ±50 | 5h | 2.71% | 1.45% | 64 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,408.11 (-2.2%) | 3.4 | 3.0% | 19h | 3.6d ago · 85× | 28% ±19 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 8% ±5 | 28% ±19 | 44% ±37 | 57% ±56 | 4.9d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 129 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,299.46 (-4.7%) | 7.1 | 6.0% | 2.6d | 3.6d ago · 85× | 16% ±16 | 63% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 32% ±20 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±15 | 34% ±35 | 44% ±56 | 4.8d | 2.98% | 1.32% | 133 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,263.84 (-5.4%) | 8.3 | 2.4% | 13h | 3.6d ago · 59× | 7% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±10 | 20% ±26 | 38% ±48 | > 7d | — | — | 156 → 4 |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-5.8%) | 8.8 | 1.5% | 8h | 2.0d ago · 31× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 154 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.