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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-16 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,738.42 (+5.3%) | 8.8 | 1.1% | 9h | 3.8d ago · 97× | 5% ±10 | 46% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±9 | 25% ±34 | 65% ±54 | 5.0d | 1.94% | 1.84% | 111 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,598.6 (+2.2%) | 3.7 | 2.0% | 14h | 21.9d ago · 44× | 35% ±28 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 5% ±5 | 33% ±27 | 53% ±49 | 67% ±65 | 2.0d | — | — | 73 → 2 |
| 7D POC | 4,523.97 (+0.6%) | 1.0 | 2.1% | 18h | 3.6d ago · 104× | 86% ±19 | 54% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 38% ±21 | 21 | 62% ±11 | 86% ±19 | 91% ±28 | 99% ±15 | 2h | 2.17% | 1.44% | 80 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,508.84–4,517.81 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 2.1% | 21h | 1.2d ago · 83× | 78% ±33 | 59% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 68% ±15 | 78% ±31 | 90% ±41 | 90% | 1h | 2.62% | 1.70% | 39 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,497.97 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 4,488.52 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 1.7% | 13h | 14.3d ago · 55× | 86% ±24 | 65% ±23 | 5% ±10 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 69% ±13 | 80% ±26 | 83% ±42 | 83% | 1h | 2.95% | 1.75% | 52 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,257.49–4,472.93 (-0.6%) | 0.9 | 2.3% | 20h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 74% ±25 | 48% ±23 | 24% ±20 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 60% ±11 | 74% ±24 | 77% ±41 | 87% ±47 | 3h | 2.71% | 1.45% | 78 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,413.04 (-1.9%) | 3.1 | 2.7% | 17h | 3.4d ago · 85× | 29% ±21 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 9% ±5 | 28% ±20 | 41% ±39 | 53% ±56 | 6.2d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 112 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,299.46 (-4.4%) | 7.3 | 5.6% | 2.4d | 3.5d ago · 85× | 15% ±15 | 63% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 32% ±20 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±14 | 32% ±32 | 42% ±56 | 5.9d | 2.98% | 1.32% | 135 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,263.84 (-5.2%) | 8.6 | 2.2% | 12h | 3.4d ago · 59× | 7% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±10 | 19% ±26 | 38% ±48 | > 7d | — | — | 162 → 4 |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-5.5%) | 9.1 | 1.4% | 8h | 1.8d ago · 31× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 157 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.