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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-16 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,606.3 (+3.3%) | 5.1 | 2.0% | 14h | 3.8d ago · 97× | 32% ±18 | 46% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 4% ±3 | 32% ±18 | 47% ±33 | 73% ±43 | 3.5d | 1.94% | 1.84% | 163 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,571.67 (+2.5%) | 3.9 | 1.5% | 9h | 21.9d ago · 44× | 34% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 5% ±5 | 32% ±25 | 50% ±49 | 64% ±67 | 2.2d | — | — | 75 → 2 |
| 7D POC | 4,510.75 (+1.1%) | 1.7 | 2.2% | 21h | 3.6d ago · 104× | 67% ±31 | 54% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 38% ±21 | 21 | 31% ±12 | 66% ±31 | 82% ±43 | 93% | 8h | 2.17% | 1.44% | 56 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,494 (+0.7%) | 1.2 | 1.8% | 14h | 3.8d ago · 70× | 69% ±29 | 45% ±24 | 5% ±10 | 50% ±24 | 17 | 52% ±12 | 69% ±29 | 77% ±48 | 78% | 4h | 2.15% | 2.17% | 62 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,461.12 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAL | 4,287.8–4,299.46 (-3.6%) | 5.7 | 5.8% | 2.5d | 3.4d ago · 85× | 19% ±14 | 65% ±20 | 8% ±12 | 27% ±19 | 21 | 3% ±2 | 18% ±14 | 37% ±30 | 52% ±49 | 2.9d | 2.88% | 1.14% | 184 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,263.84 (-4.4%) | 6.9 | 2.3% | 12h | 3.4d ago · 59× | 12% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±12 | 29% ±31 | 48% ±49 | > 7d | — | — | 150 → 4 |
| 30D VAL | 4,221.58 (-5.4%) | 8.4 | 1.3% | 7h | 1.8d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±13 | > 7d | — | — | 143 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.