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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-16 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,603.1 (+2.4%) | 3.8 | 2.0% | 14h | 3.8d ago · 97× | 39% ±19 | 46% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 6% ±4 | 39% ±19 | 56% ±32 | 77% ±41 | 1.6d | 1.94% | 1.84% | 157 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,580.65 (+1.9%) | 3.0 | 1.8% | 11h | 21.9d ago · 44× | 44% ±31 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 7% ±6 | 42% ±29 | 57% ±49 | 75% ±60 | 1.7d | — | — | 67 → 2 |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 4,499.48–4,508.53 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.9% | 17h | 3.6d ago · 104× | 88% ±20 | 50% ±21 | 7% ±11 | 43% ±21 | 21 | 74% ±11 | 87% ±20 | 89% ±31 | 94% ±34 | 1h | 2.16% | 1.77% | 66 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,496.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,257.49–4,481.9 (-0.3%) | 0.5 | 2.1% | 17h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 82% ±23 | 45% ±22 | 27% ±20 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 69% ±11 | 83% ±22 | 84% ±36 | 91% ±39 | 1h | 2.66% | 1.38% | 68 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAL | 4,297.55–4,299.46 (-4.4%) | 7.0 | 5.7% | 2.5d | 3.4d ago · 85× | 13% ±12 | 65% ±20 | 8% ±12 | 27% ±19 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±12 | 28% ±27 | 42% ±43 | 4.8d | 2.88% | 1.14% | 192 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,269.32 (-5.0%) | 8.1 | 2.8% | 17h | 3.4d ago · 59× | 7% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±10 | 21% ±26 | 38% ±48 | > 7d | — | — | 156 → 4 |
| 30D VAL | 4,221.58 (-6.1%) | 9.8 | 1.3% | 7h | 1.8d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±7 | > 7d | — | — | 168 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.