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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-17 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,446 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0039), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.47) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,603.31 (+2.0%) | 3.2 | 2.0% | 15h | 3.8d ago · 97× | 46% ±20 | 46% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 8% ±5 | 46% ±20 | 62% ±34 | 83% ±43 | 1.2d | 1.94% | 1.84% | 142 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,580.65 (+1.5%) | 2.4 | 1.8% | 12h | 21.8d ago · 44× | 52% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 16% ±9 | 49% ±33 | 63% ±55 | 79% | 1.0d | — | — | 56 → 1 |
| at post · 4,511.69 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 4,499.48–4,508.86 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.3% | 23h | 3.4d ago · 106× | 85% ±23 | 63% ±19 | 4% ±8 | 33% ±18 | 25 | 70% ±12 | 86% ±23 | 88% ±36 | 92% | 1h | 3.15% | 1.42% | 54 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,257.49–4,481.9 (-0.7%) | 1.0 | 2.1% | 17h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 73% ±25 | 45% ±22 | 27% ±20 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 59% ±11 | 75% ±23 | 79% ±40 | 88% ±46 | 3h | 2.66% | 1.38% | 79 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,303 (-4.6%) | 7.2 | 5.8% | 2.5d | 3.3d ago · 85× | 11% ±11 | 65% ±20 | 8% ±12 | 27% ±19 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±11 | 26% ±26 | 40% ±43 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.14% | 193 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,269.32 (-5.4%) | 8.4 | 2.9% | 18h | 3.3d ago · 59× | 7% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±10 | 19% ±26 | 38% ±47 | > 7d | — | — | 161 → 4 |
| 30D VAL | 4,221.58 (-6.4%) | 10 | 1.3% | 7h | 1.8d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±7 | > 7d | — | — | 170 → 4 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 4,511.69 | 4,603.31 | 4,303 | target | +1.57% |
| 14d | VAH | long | 4,511.69 | 4,741.85 | 4,299.46 | expired | +1.57% |