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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-17 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,443 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0031), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,606.38 (+2.9%) | 4.3 | 2.2% | 15h | 3.7d ago · 97× | 34% ±18 | 46% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 5% ±3 | 34% ±17 | 51% ±31 | 73% ±43 | 2.7d | 1.94% | 1.84% | 173 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,580.65 (+2.4%) | 3.5 | 2.0% | 12h | 21.8d ago · 44× | 35% ±28 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 5% ±5 | 33% ±27 | 49% ±49 | 66% ±66 | 4.4d | — | — | 73 → 2 |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 4,504.19–4,510.44 (+0.7%) | 1.0 | 2.4% | 24h | 3.5d ago · 104× | 79% ±22 | 51% ±21 | 7% ±10 | 42% ±21 | 22 | 58% ±11 | 79% ±21 | 85% ±31 | 90% ±42 | 3h | 2.19% | 1.76% | 83 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,474.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,316.43 (-3.5%) | 5.2 | 5.4% | 2.0d | 3.3d ago · 85× | 16% ±14 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 3% ±2 | 15% ±13 | 31% ±29 | 52% ±49 | 5.7d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 175 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,299.46 (-3.9%) | 5.7 | 6.1% | 2.7d | 3.3d ago · 85× | 23% ±18 | 63% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 32% ±20 | 21 | 4% ±3 | 22% ±17 | 45% ±37 | 54% ±56 | 3.0d | 2.98% | 1.32% | 130 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,274.8 (-4.5%) | 6.5 | 3.7% | 1.1d | 3.3d ago · 59× | 13% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±13 | 31% ±32 | 53% ±57 | 6.4d | — | — | 146 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 4,221.58 (-5.7%) | 8.3 | 1.4% | 7h | 1.7d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±13 | > 7d | — | — | 145 → 3 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 4,474.7 | 4,299.46 | 4,552.86 | stop | -3.01% |