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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-17 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,443 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0031), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,598.44–4,598.6 (+2.0%) | 2.7 | 2.4% | 16h | 3.7d ago · 97× | 50% ±21 | 46% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 11% ±5 | 49% ±21 | 62% ±36 | 81% ±44 | 1.2d | 1.94% | 1.84% | 129 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 4,510.44–4,511.31 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.8% | 1.2d | 3.5d ago · 104× | 94% ±16 | 51% ±21 | 7% ±10 | 42% ±21 | 22 | 84% ±10 | 95% ±15 | 95% ±26 | 95% | 1h | 2.19% | 1.76% | 54 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,509.28 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,266.46–4,472.93 (-0.8%) | 1.1 | 2.8% | 24h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 70% ±26 | 45% ±22 | 27% ±20 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 55% ±11 | 72% ±25 | 78% ±41 | 87% ±47 | 4h | 2.66% | 1.38% | 74 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,315.85 (-4.3%) | 6.0 | 5.7% | 2.1d | 3.2d ago · 85× | 13% ±12 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±12 | 26% ±27 | 48% ±49 | > 7d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 187 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,299.46 (-4.7%) | 6.5 | 6.4% | 2.8d | 3.3d ago · 85× | 18% ±16 | 63% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 32% ±20 | 21 | 2% ±3 | 18% ±16 | 38% ±36 | 47% ±56 | 4.4d | 2.98% | 1.32% | 129 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,274.8 (-5.2%) | 7.2 | 3.7% | 1.1d | 3.2d ago · 59× | 10% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±11 | 26% ±29 | 44% ±49 | > 7d | — | — | 155 → 4 |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-5.8%) | 8.0 | 1.5% | 8h | 1.6d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±13 | > 7d | — | — | 142 → 3 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 4,509.28 | 4,315.85 | 4,598.44 | stop | -2.00% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 4,509.28 | 4,299.46 | 4,552.86 | stop | -2.00% |