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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-17 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,443 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0031), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 4,598.6–4,603.15 (+2.2%) | 2.9 | 2.5% | 17h | 3.6d ago · 97× | 46% ±20 | 46% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 9% ±5 | 45% ±20 | 61% ±34 | 80% ±45 | 1.3d | 1.94% | 1.84% | 145 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 4,510.44–4,511.31 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 3.0% | 1.2d | 3.4d ago · 104× | 87% ±21 | 51% ±21 | 7% ±10 | 42% ±21 | 22 | 73% ±11 | 88% ±19 | 90% ±30 | 91% ±39 | 1h | 2.19% | 1.76% | 63 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,500.39 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,266.46–4,472.93 (-0.6%) | 0.8 | 3.0% | 1.0d | 1.3d ago · 85× | 78% ±23 | 45% ±22 | 27% ±20 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 66% ±11 | 80% ±22 | 82% ±37 | 90% ±42 | 2h | 2.66% | 1.38% | 77 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,325.27 (-3.9%) | 5.2 | 5.5% | 1.8d | 3.2d ago · 85× | 15% ±13 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±13 | 29% ±28 | 50% ±49 | > 7d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 176 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,299.46 (-4.5%) | 6.0 | 6.5% | 2.9d | 3.3d ago · 85× | 21% ±18 | 63% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 32% ±20 | 21 | 4% ±3 | 21% ±17 | 42% ±37 | 52% ±57 | 3.4d | 2.98% | 1.32% | 132 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,274.8 (-5.0%) | 6.7 | 3.6% | 1.1d | 3.2d ago · 59× | 12% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±12 | 30% ±30 | 50% ±49 | 6.7d | — | — | 153 → 4 |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-5.6%) | 7.5 | 1.5% | 8h | 1.6d ago · 31× | 2% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 132 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.