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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-17 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,443 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0031), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 4,598.6–4,607.86 (+2.5%) | 3.8 | 2.2% | 15h | 3.6d ago · 97× | 34% ±18 | 46% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 5% ±3 | 33% ±17 | 51% ±31 | 70% ±45 | 3.2d | 1.94% | 1.84% | 174 → 4 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 4,511.31–4,515.92 (+0.6%) | 0.9 | 2.7% | 1.1d | 3.4d ago · 104× | 80% ±22 | 51% ±21 | 7% ±10 | 42% ±21 | 22 | 64% ±10 | 82% ±20 | 87% ±30 | 91% ±39 | 2h | 2.19% | 1.76% | 82 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,499.86–4,517.81 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 2.6% | 1.0d | 1.1d ago · 83× | 80% ±30 | 61% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 69% ±14 | 80% ±30 | 91% ±39 | 91% | 2h | 2.55% | 1.55% | 43 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,485.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,446–4,481.9 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.5% | 21h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 90% ±19 | 48% ±22 | 26% ±19 | 26% ±19 | 20 | 76% ±11 | 90% ±18 | 90% ±33 | 95% | 1h | 2.29% | 1.30% | 60 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,325.27 (-3.6%) | 5.4 | 4.7% | 1.6d | 3.1d ago · 85× | 14% ±13 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±12 | 28% ±28 | 48% ±49 | > 7d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 179 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,299.46 (-4.1%) | 6.3 | 5.6% | 2.5d | 3.2d ago · 85× | 19% ±17 | 63% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 32% ±20 | 21 | 2% ±3 | 19% ±16 | 39% ±36 | 49% ±57 | 4.1d | 2.98% | 1.32% | 129 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,274.8 (-4.7%) | 7.1 | 3.1% | 23h | 3.1d ago · 59× | 10% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±11 | 26% ±29 | 45% ±49 | > 7d | — | — | 154 → 4 |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-5.3%) | 8.0 | 1.3% | 7h | 1.6d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±13 | > 7d | — | — | 142 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.