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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-17 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 4,598.6–4,617.83 (+2.2%) | 2.5 | 2.9% | 20h | 3.5d ago · 97× | 49% ±20 | 46% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 11% ±5 | 47% ±20 | 61% ±34 | 81% ±45 | 1.2d | 1.94% | 1.84% | 145 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 4,505.19–4,510.44 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.8% | 1.5d | 3.3d ago · 104× | 89% ±20 | 50% ±21 | 7% ±10 | 43% ±21 | 22 | 78% ±11 | 90% ±18 | 91% ±32 | 92% | 1h | 2.12% | 1.58% | 59 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,499.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,454.97–4,481.9 (-0.4%) | 0.5 | 3.5% | 1.2d | 1.5d ago · 85× | 83% ±22 | 48% ±22 | 26% ±19 | 26% ±19 | 20 | 71% ±10 | 84% ±21 | 85% ±35 | 92% ±38 | 1h | 2.29% | 1.30% | 73 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,392.56 (-2.4%) | 2.7 | 4.2% | 1.1d | 3.1d ago · 85× | 32% ±22 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 11% ±6 | 32% ±22 | 46% ±40 | 54% ±69 | 6.0d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 99 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,299.46 (-4.4%) | 5.1 | 7.1% | 3.2d | 3.1d ago · 85× | 27% ±19 | 63% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 32% ±20 | 21 | 4% ±3 | 26% ±19 | 49% ±37 | 57% ±56 | 4.9d | 2.98% | 1.32% | 127 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,274.8 (-5.0%) | 5.8 | 4.1% | 1.3d | 3.1d ago · 59× | 14% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±14 | 33% ±33 | 55% ±56 | 5.9d | — | — | 136 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-5.6%) | 6.4 | 1.8% | 10h | 1.5d ago · 31× | 2% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 110 → 3 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 4,499.6 | 4,392.56 | 4,617.83 | stop | -2.30% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 4,499.6 | 4,299.46 | 4,552.86 | stop | -2.30% |