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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-18 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 4,598.6–4,609.92 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 3.3% | 23h | 3.5d ago · 97× | 85% ±21 | 46% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 67% ±12 | 85% ±21 | 92% ±27 | 93% ±35 | 2h | 1.94% | 1.84% | 64 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,582.64 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,490.88–4,517.81 (-1.4%) | 1.5 | 3.9% | 1.4d | 1.4d ago · 85× | 67% ±28 | 48% ±22 | 26% ±19 | 26% ±19 | 20 | 43% ±12 | 68% ±28 | 77% ±41 | 87% ±47 | 6h | 2.29% | 1.30% | 67 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 4,511.11–4,515.92 (-1.5%) | 1.6 | 4.0% | 1.5d | 3.1d ago · 106× | 67% ±25 | 64% ±18 | 4% ±8 | 32% ±18 | 26 | 33% ±11 | 67% ±25 | 78% ±41 | 84% ±51 | 9h | 3.04% | 1.34% | 76 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,390.36 (-4.2%) | 4.5 | 4.6% | 1.3d | 3.0d ago · 85× | 21% ±16 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 5% ±3 | 20% ±15 | 38% ±32 | 56% ±49 | 4.9d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 162 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,299.46 (-6.2%) | 6.6 | 7.7% | 3.5d | 3.1d ago · 85× | 17% ±16 | 63% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 32% ±20 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±15 | 35% ±33 | 45% ±56 | 4.6d | 2.98% | 1.32% | 135 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,274.8 (-6.7%) | 7.2 | 4.5% | 1.4d | 3.0d ago · 59× | 10% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±11 | 26% ±29 | 44% ±49 | > 7d | — | — | 158 → 4 |
| 30D VAL | 4,248.51 (-7.3%) | 7.8 | 1.9% | 11h | 1.4d ago · 31× | 2% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 137 → 3 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 4,582.64 | 4,511.11 | 4,649.44 | expired | -0.54% |
| 30d | VAH | short | 4,582.64 | 4,297.88 | 4,661.62 | expired | -0.54% |