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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-18 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,609.92 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 3.3% | 1.0d | 3.5d ago · 97× | 87% ±25 | 46% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 77% ±12 | 87% ±23 | 91% ±32 | 91% | 1h | 1.94% | 1.84% | 45 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,609.49 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 4,598.6 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 3.4% | 1.0d | 7.4d ago · 38× | 90% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 80% ±18 | 90% ±34 | 90% | 90% | 1h | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 4,490.88–4,517.81 (-2.0%) | 2.2 | 3.8% | 1.4d | 1.4d ago · 85× | 51% ±37 | 48% ±22 | 26% ±19 | 26% ±19 | 20 | 23% ±12 | 52% ±35 | 69% ±52 | 78% | 22h | 2.29% | 1.30% | 45 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 4,511.11–4,515.92 (-2.0%) | 2.2 | 3.9% | 1.5d | 3.1d ago · 106× | 50% ±27 | 63% ±19 | 4% ±7 | 33% ±18 | 26 | 18% ±9 | 49% ±27 | 68% ±46 | 78% ±57 | 1.1d | 3.03% | 1.36% | 78 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,394.75 (-4.7%) | 5.1 | 4.5% | 1.2d | 3.0d ago · 85× | 16% ±13 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 3% ±2 | 16% ±13 | 32% ±29 | 51% ±49 | 5.7d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 180 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,299.46 (-6.7%) | 7.3 | 7.5% | 3.4d | 3.1d ago · 85× | 12% ±13 | 63% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 32% ±20 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±13 | 29% ±31 | 38% ±55 | > 7d | 2.98% | 1.32% | 145 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 4,248.51–4,269.32 (-7.4%) | 8.0 | 3.5% | 22h | 1.4d ago · 59× | 4% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 11% ±21 | 20% ±39 | > 7d | — | — | 165 → 4 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 4,609.49 | 4,511.11 | 4,648.65 | expired | +1.16% |