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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-18 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 4,607.58–4,614.31 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 3.3% | 1.0d | 3.5d ago · 97× | 87% ±22 | 46% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 71% ±12 | 87% ±21 | 94% ±28 | 94% | 1h | 1.94% | 1.84% | 57 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,599.66 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 4,511.11–4,521.4 (-1.7%) | 1.9 | 3.5% | 1.2d | 3.1d ago · 106× | 59% ±29 | 63% ±19 | 4% ±7 | 33% ±18 | 26 | 25% ±10 | 58% ±29 | 73% ±43 | 81% ±55 | 14h | 3.03% | 1.36% | 68 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,490.88–4,517.81 (-1.8%) | 2.0 | 3.7% | 1.4d | 1.4d ago · 85× | 45% ±37 | 48% ±22 | 26% ±19 | 26% ±19 | 20 | 20% ±12 | 46% ±37 | 65% ±66 | 79% | 1.1d | 2.29% | 1.30% | 43 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,403.53 (-4.3%) | 4.8 | 4.3% | 1.1d | 3.0d ago · 85× | 17% ±14 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 17% ±13 | 33% ±29 | 52% ±49 | 5.5d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 179 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,299.46 (-6.5%) | 7.4 | 7.3% | 3.3d | 3.1d ago · 85× | 12% ±13 | 63% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 32% ±20 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±13 | 28% ±31 | 38% ±47 | > 7d | 2.98% | 1.32% | 147 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 4,257.49–4,269.32 (-7.2%) | 8.1 | 3.3% | 21h | 1.4d ago · 59× | 4% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 11% ±20 | 20% ±39 | > 7d | — | — | 167 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.