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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-18 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 4,607.58–4,613.24 (+0.9%) | 1.0 | 3.3% | 1.0d | 3.5d ago · 97× | 74% ±24 | 46% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 53% ±11 | 75% ±24 | 85% ±35 | 91% ±39 | 3h | 1.94% | 1.84% | 79 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,568.52 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 4,510.72–4,521.4 (-1.0%) | 1.2 | 3.5% | 1.2d | 3.1d ago · 106× | 71% ±25 | 63% ±19 | 4% ±7 | 33% ±18 | 26 | 45% ±11 | 70% ±24 | 78% ±36 | 85% ±50 | 6h | 3.03% | 1.36% | 81 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,490.88–4,517.81 (-1.1%) | 1.3 | 3.7% | 1.4d | 1.5d ago · 85× | 69% ±26 | 48% ±22 | 26% ±19 | 26% ±19 | 20 | 50% ±11 | 68% ±26 | 75% ±42 | 86% ±49 | 4h | 2.29% | 1.30% | 74 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,408.19 (-3.5%) | 4.0 | 4.3% | 1.1d | 3.1d ago · 85× | 25% ±17 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 6% ±4 | 24% ±17 | 42% ±34 | 59% ±48 | 4.7d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 148 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,299.46 (-5.9%) | 6.7 | 7.0% | 3.2d | 3.1d ago · 85× | 16% ±15 | 63% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 32% ±20 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±15 | 34% ±33 | 43% ±56 | > 7d | 2.98% | 1.32% | 137 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 4,257.49–4,269.32 (-6.5%) | 7.4 | 3.2% | 21h | 1.5d ago · 59× | 5% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±8 | 13% ±22 | 23% ±41 | > 7d | — | — | 161 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.