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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-18 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,622.43 (+0.4%) | 0.6 | 2.6% | 17h | 3.5d ago · 97× | 84% ±23 | 46% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 67% ±11 | 86% ±21 | 93% ±25 | 93% ±36 | 2h | 1.94% | 1.84% | 67 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,602.96 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 4,598.6 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.2% | 1.0d | 7.3d ago · 38× | 94% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 89% ±15 | 95% ±25 | 95% | 95% | 1h | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 4,532.36 (-1.5%) | 2.1 | 2.3% | 15h | 13.9d ago · 55× | 49% ±37 | 64% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 32% ±21 | 19 | 17% ±11 | 45% ±37 | 66% ±66 | 77% | 1.2d | 2.93% | 1.75% | 44 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,490.88–4,517.81 (-1.8%) | 2.6 | 3.1% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 85× | 49% ±35 | 50% ±21 | 25% ±19 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 17% ±10 | 47% ±35 | 71% ±52 | 77% | 1.1d | 2.66% | 1.38% | 50 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 4,511.44 (-2.0%) | 2.8 | 3.3% | 1.3d | 3.1d ago · 106× | 45% ±26 | 62% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 34% ±18 | 26 | 12% ±7 | 44% ±25 | 62% ±43 | 73% ±61 | 1.6d | 3.11% | 1.08% | 91 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,447.75 (-3.4%) | 4.7 | 2.8% | 17h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 18% ±14 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 4% ±3 | 17% ±14 | 33% ±29 | 52% ±49 | 5.5d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 180 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,299.46 (-6.6%) | 9.2 | 5.8% | 2.7d | 3.1d ago · 85× | 5% ±8 | 63% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 32% ±20 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±41 | > 7d | 2.98% | 1.32% | 178 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 4,257.49–4,269.32 (-7.2%) | 10 | 2.5% | 16h | 1.4d ago · 59× | 2% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 7% ±14 | 17% ±33 | > 7d | — | — | 209 → 5 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | long | 4,602.96 | 4,944.07 | 4,297.88 | expired | -3.16% |