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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-19 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,626.07 (+0.4%) | 0.7 | 2.1% | 13h | 3.5d ago · 97× | 83% ±22 | 44% ±20 | 11% ±13 | 44% ±20 | 24 | 64% ±11 | 84% ±21 | 91% ±28 | 93% ±36 | 2h | 1.92% | 1.62% | 70 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,607.48 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 4,598.6 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 2.8% | 23h | 7.3d ago · 38× | 90% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 83% ±16 | 92% ±27 | 92% | 92% | 1h | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 4,532.36 (-1.6%) | 2.7 | 2.0% | 13h | 13.9d ago · 55× | 33% ±37 | 64% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 32% ±21 | 19 | 11% ±9 | 30% ±34 | 53% ±69 | 72% | 2.3d | 2.93% | 1.75% | 43 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,499.86–4,517.81 (-1.9%) | 3.2 | 2.6% | 23h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 49% ±35 | 50% ±21 | 25% ±19 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 13% ±9 | 48% ±33 | 70% ±52 | 74% | 1.1d | 2.66% | 1.38% | 52 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 4,511.44 (-2.1%) | 3.4 | 2.8% | 1.1d | 3.1d ago · 106× | 36% ±24 | 62% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 34% ±18 | 26 | 7% ±5 | 35% ±23 | 56% ±40 | 70% ±64 | 2.1d | 3.11% | 1.08% | 102 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,458.67 (-3.2%) | 5.3 | 2.7% | 20h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 14% ±12 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±12 | 30% ±28 | 50% ±49 | > 7d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 185 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,297.88–4,299.46 (-6.7%) | 11 | 5.0% | 2.3d | 3.1d ago · 85× | 2% ±5 | 63% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 32% ±20 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 9% ±17 | 17% ±33 | > 7d | 2.98% | 1.32% | 190 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 4,257.49–4,269.32 (-7.3%) | 12 | 2.2% | 14h | 1.4d ago · 59× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 4% ±10 | 11% ±25 | > 7d | — | — | 243 → 6 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | long | 4,607.48 | 4,948.59 | 4,297.88 | expired | -2.90% |