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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-19 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,626.07 (+1.5%) | 2.5 | 2.1% | 13h | 3.4d ago · 97× | 56% ±21 | 44% ±20 | 11% ±13 | 44% ±20 | 24 | 13% ±6 | 56% ±21 | 71% ±33 | 89% ±36 | 19h | 1.92% | 1.62% | 124 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,590.73 (+0.8%) | 1.2 | 3.0% | 24h | 21.4d ago · 44× | 74% ±35 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 49% ±16 | 74% ±35 | 85% ±50 | 87% | 5h | 1.68% | 2.10% | 37 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,590.73–4,607.8 (+0.8%) | 1.2 | 3.0% | 24h | 9.7d ago · 82× | 72% ±28 | 63% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 48% ±13 | 72% ±28 | 82% ±44 | 82% | 5h | 2.34% | 1.70% | 58 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,555.86 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 4,537.84 (-0.4%) | 0.6 | 1.9% | 11h | 13.8d ago · 55× | 85% ±22 | 64% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 32% ±21 | 19 | 65% ±12 | 85% ±22 | 87% ±38 | 87% | 1h | 2.93% | 1.75% | 58 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 4,511.44 (-1.0%) | 1.6 | 2.9% | 1.1d | 3.0d ago · 106× | 61% ±27 | 62% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 34% ±18 | 26 | 29% ±10 | 58% ±26 | 68% ±41 | 81% ±55 | 14h | 3.11% | 1.08% | 81 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,479.8–4,505.4 (-1.1%) | 1.8 | 2.9% | 1.1d | 1.3d ago · 85× | 56% ±32 | 50% ±21 | 25% ±19 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 30% ±12 | 53% ±31 | 67% ±53 | 81% | 21h | 2.66% | 1.38% | 59 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,458.67 (-2.1%) | 3.4 | 2.7% | 21h | 2.9d ago · 85× | 27% ±18 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 8% ±4 | 26% ±18 | 44% ±34 | 57% ±56 | 4.9d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 138 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 4,299.46–4,304.86 (-5.5%) | 8.8 | 5.0% | 2.2d | 3.0d ago · 85× | 6% ±9 | 63% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 32% ±20 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±8 | 17% ±23 | 25% ±43 | > 7d | 2.98% | 1.32% | 178 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 4,257.93–4,269.32 (-6.3%) | 10 | 2.2% | 14h | 1.3d ago · 59× | 3% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 7% ±15 | 17% ±33 | > 7d | — | — | 211 → 5 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.