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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-19 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,626.07 (+2.1%) | 3.4 | 2.1% | 13h | 3.5d ago · 97× | 46% ±19 | 44% ±20 | 11% ±13 | 44% ±20 | 24 | 8% ±4 | 46% ±19 | 64% ±31 | 82% ±38 | 1.2d | 1.92% | 1.62% | 156 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,590.73 (+1.3%) | 2.1 | 2.9% | 23h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 54% ±31 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 17% ±10 | 54% ±31 | 76% ±48 | 85% | 21h | 1.68% | 2.10% | 58 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,590.73–4,607.8 (+1.3%) | 2.1 | 2.9% | 23h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 47% ±33 | 63% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 12% ±9 | 47% ±33 | 56% ±56 | 58% | 1.3d | 2.34% | 1.70% | 56 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,537.84 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.0% | 12h | 3.4d ago · 70× | 83% ±26 | 45% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 50% ±22 | 19 | 73% ±12 | 83% ±26 | 85% ±41 | 87% | 1h | 2.15% | 2.17% | 50 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,531.96 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,488.33–4,513.93 (-0.4%) | 0.7 | 2.8% | 1.0d | 1.4d ago · 85× | 81% ±21 | 50% ±21 | 25% ±19 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 67% ±10 | 82% ±21 | 85% ±35 | 91% ±39 | 1h | 2.66% | 1.38% | 80 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,507.8 (-0.5%) | 0.9 | 2.8% | 1.1d | 3.1d ago · 106× | 79% ±22 | 62% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 34% ±18 | 26 | 61% ±11 | 79% ±22 | 84% ±36 | 91% ±39 | 2h | 3.11% | 1.08% | 80 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,458.67 (-1.6%) | 2.6 | 2.7% | 20h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 33% ±23 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 12% ±6 | 33% ±23 | 46% ±44 | 53% ±69 | 6.0d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 97 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 4,299.46–4,304.86 (-5.0%) | 8.2 | 4.8% | 2.1d | 3.1d ago · 85× | 9% ±11 | 63% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 32% ±20 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±10 | 21% ±25 | 29% ±45 | > 7d | 2.98% | 1.32% | 173 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 4,257.93–4,269.32 (-5.8%) | 9.5 | 2.1% | 14h | 1.4d ago · 59× | 3% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 8% ±16 | 17% ±33 | > 7d | — | — | 196 → 5 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 4,531.96 | 4,299.46 | 4,586.17 | expired | +1.52% |