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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-19 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,626.07 (+2.4%) | 4.0 | 2.0% | 13h | 3.5d ago · 97× | 39% ±18 | 44% ±20 | 11% ±13 | 44% ±20 | 24 | 6% ±4 | 39% ±18 | 58% ±31 | 77% ±41 | 1.7d | 1.92% | 1.62% | 171 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,590.73 (+1.6%) | 2.7 | 2.9% | 23h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 47% ±28 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 11% ±7 | 47% ±28 | 69% ±45 | 82% ±53 | 1.2d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 71 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,590.73–4,607.8 (+1.6%) | 2.7 | 2.9% | 23h | 1.2d ago · 83× | 45% ±33 | 63% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±33 | 51% ±57 | 53% | 1.8d | 2.34% | 1.70% | 54 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,537.84 (+0.5%) | 0.8 | 2.0% | 13h | 3.4d ago · 70× | 79% ±23 | 45% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 50% ±22 | 19 | 67% ±11 | 79% ±23 | 82% ±37 | 84% ±51 | 2h | 2.15% | 2.17% | 71 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,516.29 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 4,507.8 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 2.9% | 1.1d | 3.1d ago · 106× | 83% ±24 | 62% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 34% ±18 | 26 | 72% ±11 | 83% ±23 | 86% ±39 | 92% | 1h | 3.11% | 1.08% | 62 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,462.73–4,471.27 (-1.0%) | 1.6 | 2.8% | 22h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 63% ±30 | 50% ±21 | 25% ±19 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 35% ±11 | 65% ±28 | 77% ±41 | 87% ±47 | 9h | 2.66% | 1.38% | 67 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,458.67 (-1.3%) | 2.1 | 2.7% | 20h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 36% ±27 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 15% ±8 | 35% ±27 | 45% ±49 | 51% ±69 | 7.0d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 72 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 4,299.46–4,304.86 (-4.7%) | 7.7 | 4.8% | 2.1d | 3.1d ago · 85× | 11% ±12 | 63% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 32% ±20 | 21 | 1% ±2 | 11% ±12 | 24% ±28 | 33% ±46 | > 7d | 2.98% | 1.32% | 164 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 4,257.93–4,263.84 (-5.6%) | 9.2 | 1.7% | 9h | 1.4d ago · 59× | 3% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 8% ±16 | 17% ±33 | > 7d | — | — | 192 → 5 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.