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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-19 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,678.07–4,685.63 (+4.4%) | 7.2 | 0.7% | 5h | 2.0d ago · 50× | 16% ±32 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 3% ±6 | 16% ±32 | 50% ±69 | 91% | 4.6d | — | — | 30 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 4,674.84 (+4.4%) | 7.1 | 0.7% | 6h | 3.4d ago · 70× | 17% ±14 | 45% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 50% ±22 | 19 | 2% ±2 | 17% ±14 | 43% ±32 | 68% ±46 | 4.6d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 166 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,618.79 (+3.1%) | 5.1 | 2.4% | 17h | 3.5d ago · 97× | 33% ±17 | 44% ±20 | 11% ±13 | 44% ±20 | 24 | 4% ±3 | 33% ±17 | 49% ±31 | 75% ±43 | 3.1d | 1.92% | 1.62% | 174 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,587.39 (+2.4%) | 3.9 | 2.8% | 22h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 34% ±25 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 6% ±5 | 34% ±24 | 59% ±43 | 70% ±63 | 1.9d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 88 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,507.8–4,513.18 (+0.6%) | 1.0 | 3.1% | 1.2d | 3.3d ago · 104× | 83% ±20 | 44% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 59% ±10 | 83% ±20 | 91% ±25 | 99% ±17 | 2h | 2.15% | 1.62% | 86 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,496.71–4,519.38 (+0.4%) | 0.6 | 2.8% | 23h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 78% ±29 | 63% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 65% ±13 | 77% ±29 | 87% ±38 | 87% | 3h | 2.34% | 1.70% | 49 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,478.91 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,440.47 (-0.9%) | 1.4 | 2.5% | 13h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 50% ±27 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 36% ±10 | 51% ±26 | 61% ±43 | 66% ±66 | 17h | 2.67% | 0.74% | 81 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,277.57–4,421.14 (-1.3%) | 2.1 | 2.8% | 17h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 48% ±35 | 50% ±21 | 25% ±19 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 21% ±11 | 53% ±33 | 72% ±51 | 81% | 21h | 2.66% | 1.38% | 51 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,340.56 (-3.1%) | 5.0 | 3.9% | 1.0d | 3.0d ago · 59× | 20% ±17 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±3 | 20% ±17 | 39% ±36 | 59% ±56 | 4.4d | — | — | 125 → 3 |
| 30D POC | 4,304.02 (-3.9%) | 6.3 | 4.8% | 2.1d | 3.1d ago · 72× | 17% ±18 | 76% ±22 | 6% ±12 | 18% ±20 | 14 | 3% ±3 | 17% ±18 | 38% ±39 | 50% ±69 | 5.9d | 3.52% | 0.53% | 103 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,262.45 (-4.8%) | 7.9 | 1.5% | 8h | 1.4d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 148 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.