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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-19 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,678.07–4,685.63 (+5.0%) | 8.1 | 0.7% | 5h | 2.0d ago · 50× | 13% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 3% ±5 | 13% ±27 | 44% ±69 | 90% | 4.4d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 4,674.84 (+4.9%) | 8.0 | 0.7% | 5h | 3.4d ago · 70× | 16% ±14 | 45% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 50% ±22 | 19 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±14 | 41% ±32 | 72% ±44 | 4.4d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 169 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,611.51 (+3.5%) | 5.7 | 2.6% | 19h | 3.5d ago · 97× | 29% ±17 | 44% ±20 | 11% ±13 | 44% ±20 | 24 | 3% ±3 | 29% ±16 | 46% ±31 | 72% ±44 | 3.5d | 1.92% | 1.62% | 171 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,587.39 (+2.9%) | 4.8 | 2.8% | 21h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 25% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 3% ±4 | 25% ±21 | 48% ±44 | 64% ±66 | 3.4d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 93 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,507.8–4,513.18 (+1.1%) | 1.9 | 3.1% | 1.1d | 3.3d ago · 104× | 62% ±30 | 44% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 27% ±11 | 62% ±30 | 81% ±44 | 92% | 10h | 2.15% | 1.62% | 60 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,458.93–4,481.6 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.9% | 22h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 88% ±28 | 63% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 83% ±13 | 86% ±27 | 94% ±34 | 94% | 1h | 2.34% | 1.70% | 33 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,457.41 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,425.92 (-0.7%) | 1.2 | 2.7% | 16h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 57% ±28 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 45% ±11 | 58% ±27 | 67% ±46 | 71% ±63 | 6h | 2.67% | 0.74% | 76 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,277.57–4,421.14 (-0.8%) | 1.3 | 2.8% | 17h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 66% ±27 | 48% ±21 | 24% ±18 | 28% ±19 | 22 | 48% ±11 | 68% ±25 | 78% ±40 | 87% ±46 | 5h | 2.29% | 1.45% | 78 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,346.04 (-2.5%) | 4.1 | 3.6% | 1.0d | 3.0d ago · 59× | 27% ±23 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 5% ±5 | 27% ±23 | 48% ±44 | 61% ±68 | 3.1d | — | — | 91 → 2 |
| 30D POC | 4,304.02 (-3.4%) | 5.6 | 4.6% | 2.1d | 3.1d ago · 72× | 19% ±19 | 76% ±22 | 6% ±12 | 18% ±20 | 14 | 4% ±4 | 19% ±19 | 43% ±40 | 54% ±69 | 4.3d | 3.52% | 0.53% | 99 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,262.45 (-4.4%) | 7.2 | 1.4% | 8h | 1.4d ago · 31× | 2% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 133 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.