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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-20 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,678.07–4,685.63 (+4.6%) | 7.6 | 0.7% | 5h | 1.9d ago · 50× | 15% ±31 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 3% ±6 | 15% ±28 | 47% ±69 | 88% | 3.1d | — | — | 34 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 4,674.84 (+4.5%) | 7.5 | 0.7% | 5h | 3.3d ago · 70× | 16% ±14 | 45% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 50% ±22 | 19 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±13 | 41% ±30 | 70% ±45 | 4.4d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 171 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,604.24 (+2.9%) | 4.8 | 2.7% | 22h | 3.4d ago · 97× | 34% ±17 | 44% ±20 | 11% ±13 | 44% ±20 | 24 | 5% ±3 | 34% ±17 | 51% ±31 | 75% ±42 | 2.9d | 1.92% | 1.62% | 178 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,587.39 (+2.5%) | 4.2 | 2.8% | 21h | 21.4d ago · 44× | 33% ±24 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 4% ±4 | 33% ±23 | 58% ±43 | 71% ±63 | 1.9d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 93 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,507.8–4,513.18 (+0.8%) | 1.3 | 3.1% | 1.1d | 3.2d ago · 104× | 78% ±23 | 44% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 46% ±11 | 77% ±23 | 89% ±31 | 98% ±21 | 5h | 2.15% | 1.62% | 77 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,496.71–4,519.38 (+0.5%) | 0.9 | 2.7% | 22h | 9.7d ago · 82× | 75% ±27 | 63% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 56% ±12 | 73% ±27 | 84% ±41 | 84% | 3h | 2.34% | 1.70% | 61 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,473.69 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,425.92 (-1.1%) | 1.8 | 2.7% | 16h | 2.9d ago · 85× | 41% ±27 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 24% ±9 | 42% ±26 | 52% ±44 | 59% ±68 | 1.8d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 81 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,277.57–4,421.14 (-1.2%) | 2.0 | 2.8% | 17h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 48% ±35 | 48% ±21 | 24% ±18 | 28% ±19 | 22 | 20% ±11 | 52% ±33 | 69% ±52 | 83% | 21h | 2.29% | 1.45% | 53 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,351.52 (-2.7%) | 4.5 | 3.4% | 24h | 2.9d ago · 59× | 21% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 4% ±4 | 21% ±19 | 43% ±40 | 60% ±68 | 3.7d | — | — | 103 → 2 |
| 30D POC | 4,304.02 (-3.8%) | 6.3 | 4.6% | 2.1d | 3.0d ago · 72× | 17% ±18 | 76% ±22 | 6% ±12 | 18% ±20 | 14 | 3% ±3 | 16% ±17 | 38% ±39 | 49% ±57 | > 7d | 3.52% | 0.53% | 105 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,262.45 (-4.7%) | 7.8 | 1.4% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 150 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.