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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-20 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,678.07–4,685.63 (+4.6%) | 8.7 | 0.6% | 4h | 1.9d ago · 50× | 13% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 2% ±5 | 13% ±25 | 44% ±69 | 87% | 4.4d | — | — | 40 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 4,674.84 (+4.5%) | 8.6 | 0.6% | 5h | 3.3d ago · 70× | 15% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 50% ±22 | 19 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±13 | 40% ±32 | 73% ±43 | 4.3d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 170 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,602.83 (+2.9%) | 5.5 | 2.4% | 20h | 3.4d ago · 97× | 30% ±17 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 4% ±3 | 29% ±17 | 46% ±31 | 72% ±44 | 3.5d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 172 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,587.39 (+2.6%) | 4.9 | 2.5% | 19h | 21.4d ago · 44× | 24% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 3% ±4 | 24% ±21 | 48% ±44 | 64% ±67 | 3.4d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 94 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,510.19–4,513.18 (+0.8%) | 1.6 | 2.7% | 1.0d | 3.2d ago · 104× | 73% ±28 | 44% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 36% ±12 | 71% ±27 | 85% ±35 | 96% ±27 | 7h | 2.15% | 1.62% | 64 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,504.27–4,519.38 (+0.7%) | 1.4 | 2.6% | 23h | 9.7d ago · 82× | 67% ±29 | 63% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 39% ±12 | 63% ±30 | 76% ±48 | 76% | 9h | 2.34% | 1.70% | 62 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,472.27 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,424.29 (-1.1%) | 2.0 | 2.4% | 14h | 2.9d ago · 85× | 36% ±27 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 18% ±9 | 38% ±26 | 46% ±49 | 52% ±69 | 6.8d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 77 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,277.57–4,421.14 (-1.1%) | 2.2 | 2.5% | 15h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 51% ±35 | 48% ±21 | 24% ±18 | 28% ±19 | 22 | 21% ±11 | 55% ±32 | 74% ±50 | 81% | 21h | 2.29% | 1.45% | 56 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,351.52 (-2.7%) | 5.1 | 3.0% | 21h | 2.9d ago · 59× | 19% ±17 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±3 | 19% ±16 | 38% ±36 | 58% ±56 | 4.9d | — | — | 130 → 3 |
| 30D POC | 4,304.02 (-3.8%) | 7.1 | 3.9% | 1.8d | 3.0d ago · 72× | 12% ±15 | 76% ±22 | 6% ±12 | 18% ±20 | 14 | 2% ±3 | 11% ±15 | 32% ±37 | 44% ±56 | > 7d | 3.52% | 0.53% | 107 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,262.45 (-4.7%) | 8.9 | 1.2% | 6h | 1.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | — | — | 177 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.