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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-20 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,678.07–4,685.63 (+4.8%) | 9.7 | 0.6% | 4h | 2.0d ago · 50× | 10% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 2% ±5 | 10% ±22 | 40% ±68 | 78% | 4.8d | — | — | 42 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 4,674.84 (+4.7%) | 9.6 | 0.6% | 5h | 3.4d ago · 70× | 15% ±14 | 45% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 50% ±22 | 19 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±13 | 39% ±32 | 75% ±42 | 4.3d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 160 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 4,587.39–4,597.95 (+2.8%) | 5.6 | 2.3% | 17h | 3.4d ago · 97× | 20% ±15 | 42% ±19 | 12% ±13 | 46% ±20 | 25 | 2% ±2 | 20% ±15 | 39% ±32 | 65% ±47 | 4.9d | 1.87% | 1.60% | 164 → 4 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,509.37–4,513.18 (+1.0%) | 2.1 | 2.6% | 23h | 3.2d ago · 104× | 54% ±31 | 44% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 18% ±10 | 52% ±31 | 72% ±51 | 87% | 1.5d | 2.15% | 1.62% | 60 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,504.27–4,519.38 (+0.9%) | 1.9 | 2.4% | 21h | 1.2d ago · 83× | 50% ±33 | 63% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 17% ±10 | 48% ±31 | 60% ±56 | 62% | 1.3d | 2.34% | 1.70% | 57 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,463 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,427.48 (-0.8%) | 1.6 | 2.2% | 12h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 45% ±27 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 29% ±10 | 45% ±26 | 56% ±43 | 62% ±67 | 1.4d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 85 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,277.57–4,421.14 (-0.9%) | 1.9 | 2.3% | 14h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 52% ±35 | 48% ±21 | 24% ±18 | 28% ±19 | 22 | 22% ±11 | 52% ±33 | 69% ±52 | 83% | 21h | 2.29% | 1.45% | 56 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,351.52 (-2.5%) | 5.0 | 2.8% | 20h | 3.0d ago · 59× | 20% ±17 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±3 | 19% ±17 | 38% ±36 | 58% ±56 | 4.9d | — | — | 130 → 3 |
| 30D POC | 4,304.02 (-3.6%) | 7.2 | 3.6% | 1.6d | 3.0d ago · 72× | 12% ±15 | 76% ±22 | 6% ±12 | 18% ±20 | 14 | 2% ±3 | 11% ±15 | 32% ±37 | 43% ±56 | > 7d | 3.52% | 0.53% | 108 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,262.45 (-4.5%) | 9.1 | 1.2% | 6h | 1.4d ago · 31× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | — | — | 180 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.