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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-20 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,678.07–4,685.63 (+4.8%) | 10 | 0.5% | 4h | 2.0d ago · 50× | 8% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 2% ±4 | 7% ±19 | 37% ±67 | 75% | 4.4d | — | — | 43 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 4,674.84 (+4.7%) | 10 | 0.6% | 4h | 3.4d ago · 70× | 15% ±14 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±14 | 38% ±32 | 75% ±42 | 4.3d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 154 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 4,587.39–4,596.19 (+2.8%) | 6.0 | 2.2% | 16h | 3.5d ago · 97× | 16% ±15 | 42% ±19 | 12% ±13 | 46% ±20 | 25 | 1% ±2 | 16% ±14 | 35% ±31 | 62% ±47 | 5.2d | 1.87% | 1.60% | 156 → 4 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,508.14–4,513.18 (+1.0%) | 2.1 | 2.4% | 21h | 3.3d ago · 104× | 50% ±31 | 44% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 17% ±9 | 48% ±30 | 68% ±46 | 87% ±46 | 1.8d | 2.15% | 1.62% | 63 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,504.27–4,519.38 (+0.9%) | 1.9 | 2.3% | 20h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 45% ±32 | 63% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 11% ±8 | 44% ±31 | 53% ±56 | 55% | 1.8d | 2.34% | 1.70% | 59 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,463.94 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,426.49 (-0.8%) | 1.8 | 2.1% | 12h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 39% ±27 | 68% ±23 | 16% ±18 | 16% ±18 | 16 | 22% ±9 | 40% ±26 | 50% ±44 | 56% ±69 | 6.0d | 2.67% | 0.74% | 84 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,277.57–4,421.14 (-1.0%) | 2.1 | 2.2% | 13h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 53% ±33 | 48% ±21 | 24% ±18 | 28% ±19 | 22 | 19% ±10 | 52% ±31 | 71% ±51 | 81% | 22h | 2.29% | 1.45% | 57 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,357 (-2.4%) | 5.2 | 2.6% | 17h | 3.0d ago · 59× | 18% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±3 | 18% ±16 | 36% ±33 | 56% ±56 | 5.7d | — | — | 136 → 3 |
| 30D POC | 4,304.02 (-3.6%) | 7.7 | 3.3% | 1.5d | 3.1d ago · 72× | 9% ±13 | 76% ±22 | 6% ±12 | 18% ±20 | 14 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±12 | 26% ±33 | 38% ±55 | > 7d | 3.52% | 0.53% | 118 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,262.45 (-4.5%) | 9.7 | 1.0% | 5h | 1.4d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±6 | > 7d | — | — | 189 → 5 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.