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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-21 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,672.89 (+4.2%) | 12 | 0.4% | 4h | 3.4d ago · 70× | 11% ±14 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±14 | 31% ±34 | 78% ±46 | 4.4d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 118 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 4,581.58–4,582.16 (+2.2%) | 6.2 | 1.5% | 10h | 3.5d ago · 97× | 18% ±14 | 42% ±19 | 12% ±13 | 46% ±20 | 25 | 2% ±2 | 18% ±14 | 36% ±31 | 63% ±47 | 5.1d | 1.87% | 1.60% | 165 → 4 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,506.04–4,510.21 (+0.5%) | 1.3 | 1.9% | 16h | 3.2d ago · 104× | 77% ±24 | 44% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 39% ±11 | 76% ±23 | 89% ±31 | 98% ±21 | 7h | 2.15% | 1.62% | 80 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,484.94 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,427.06 (-1.3%) | 3.7 | 1.6% | 9h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 27% ±17 | 65% ±23 | 20% ±19 | 15% ±17 | 17 | 8% ±4 | 27% ±17 | 43% ±32 | 60% ±48 | 4.2d | 2.61% | 0.62% | 154 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 4,280.71–4,408.58 (-1.7%) | 4.9 | 1.9% | 10h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 34% ±28 | 48% ±21 | 24% ±18 | 28% ±19 | 22 | 7% ±6 | 34% ±28 | 63% ±47 | 65% ±66 | 2.2d | 2.29% | 1.45% | 67 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,367.55 (-2.6%) | 7.5 | 1.9% | 11h | 3.0d ago · 59× | 8% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±2 | 7% ±10 | 21% ±25 | 38% ±48 | > 7d | — | — | 175 → 4 |
| 30D POC | 4,299.51 (-4.1%) | 12 | 2.6% | 1.2d | 3.1d ago · 72× | 1% ±3 | 76% ±22 | 6% ±12 | 18% ±20 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 7% ±16 | 16% ±36 | > 7d | 3.52% | 0.53% | 168 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,265.66 (-4.9%) | 14 | 0.7% | 4h | 1.4d ago · 31× | 0% ±2 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 0% ±3 | 0% ±5 | > 7d | — | — | 254 → 6 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.