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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-21 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,672.89 (+4.5%) | 13 | 0.4% | 4h | 3.3d ago · 70× | 11% ±15 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 11% ±14 | 27% ±36 | 76% ±48 | 4.5d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 105 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,589.1 (+2.7%) | 7.5 | 1.8% | 13h | 21.4d ago · 44× | 6% ±9 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±9 | 26% ±29 | 52% ±49 | 6.8d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 156 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,577.9 (+2.4%) | 6.8 | 1.3% | 9h | 3.4d ago · 97× | 17% ±15 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 1% ±2 | 17% ±14 | 36% ±31 | 67% ±46 | 4.7d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 153 → 4 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,504.79–4,510.21 (+0.8%) | 2.2 | 1.9% | 16h | 3.2d ago · 104× | 49% ±31 | 44% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 17% ±9 | 51% ±30 | 69% ±45 | 87% ±46 | 1.0d | 2.15% | 1.62% | 67 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,469.96 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,426.15 (-1.0%) | 2.8 | 1.7% | 9h | 2.9d ago · 85× | 33% ±22 | 65% ±23 | 20% ±19 | 15% ±17 | 17 | 11% ±6 | 32% ±21 | 45% ±40 | 52% ±57 | 6.2d | 2.61% | 0.62% | 116 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 4,280.71–4,408.58 (-1.4%) | 3.9 | 1.9% | 10h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 44% ±31 | 48% ±21 | 24% ±18 | 28% ±19 | 22 | 9% ±7 | 43% ±29 | 73% ±44 | 73% ±62 | 1.2d | 2.29% | 1.45% | 63 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,372.56 (-2.2%) | 6.2 | 1.9% | 11h | 2.9d ago · 59× | 12% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±12 | 28% ±29 | 49% ±49 | > 7d | — | — | 159 → 4 |
| 30D POC | 4,299.51 (-3.8%) | 11 | 2.5% | 1.2d | 3.0d ago · 72× | 1% ±4 | 76% ±22 | 6% ±12 | 18% ±20 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 11% ±20 | 19% ±38 | > 7d | 3.52% | 0.53% | 169 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,273.19 (-4.4%) | 12 | 1.0% | 8h | 1.3d ago · 31× | 0% ±2 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 0% ±4 | 0% ±5 | > 7d | — | — | 233 → 6 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.