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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-21 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,672.89 (+4.7%) | 13 | 0.5% | 4h | 3.4d ago · 70× | 11% ±15 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±14 | 29% ±36 | 77% ±47 | 4.4d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 111 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,589.1 (+2.8%) | 7.6 | 1.8% | 14h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 6% ±9 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±9 | 26% ±29 | 52% ±49 | 6.8d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 158 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,567.71 (+2.3%) | 6.3 | 1.2% | 7h | 3.5d ago · 97× | 21% ±15 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 2% ±2 | 21% ±15 | 38% ±32 | 68% ±46 | 4.2d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 166 → 4 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,505.69–4,510.21 (+0.9%) | 2.5 | 2.0% | 17h | 3.2d ago · 104× | 44% ±31 | 44% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 14% ±8 | 46% ±29 | 69% ±45 | 86% ±49 | 1.8d | 2.15% | 1.62% | 67 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,465.15 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,425.19 (-0.9%) | 2.4 | 1.7% | 10h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 36% ±23 | 65% ±23 | 20% ±19 | 15% ±17 | 17 | 14% ±7 | 35% ±23 | 48% ±44 | 54% ±69 | 6.0d | 2.61% | 0.62% | 97 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,288.23–4,416.1 (-1.1%) | 3.0 | 1.8% | 10h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 49% ±31 | 48% ±21 | 24% ±18 | 28% ±19 | 22 | 12% ±8 | 48% ±30 | 71% ±44 | 75% ±60 | 1.0d | 2.29% | 1.45% | 65 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,377.56 (-2.0%) | 5.4 | 2.0% | 11h | 3.0d ago · 59× | 17% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±3 | 17% ±15 | 34% ±33 | 53% ±57 | 6.4d | — | — | 145 → 3 |
| 30D POC | 4,299.51 (-3.7%) | 10 | 2.5% | 1.2d | 3.1d ago · 72× | 1% ±4 | 76% ±22 | 6% ±12 | 18% ±20 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 11% ±20 | 18% ±37 | > 7d | 3.52% | 0.53% | 164 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,273.19 (-4.3%) | 12 | 1.0% | 8h | 1.4d ago · 31× | 0% ±2 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 0% ±4 | 0% ±6 | > 7d | — | — | 223 → 5 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.