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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-21 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,672.89 (+4.4%) | 13 | 0.4% | 3h | 3.3d ago · 70× | 11% ±15 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±14 | 28% ±36 | 77% ±47 | 4.4d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 112 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,581.58 (+2.4%) | 6.8 | 1.5% | 10h | 21.4d ago · 44× | 8% ±11 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±10 | 28% ±29 | 53% ±49 | 6.8d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 153 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,554.51 (+1.8%) | 5.1 | 1.0% | 5h | 3.4d ago · 97× | 32% ±17 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 4% ±3 | 31% ±16 | 47% ±31 | 73% ±43 | 3.5d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 186 → 4 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,505.69–4,510.21 (+0.7%) | 2.0 | 1.9% | 16h | 3.2d ago · 104× | 59% ±31 | 45% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 48% ±20 | 24 | 18% ±9 | 57% ±29 | 77% ±41 | 91% ±40 | 17h | 2.14% | 1.61% | 67 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,474.67 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,435.75 (-0.9%) | 2.5 | 1.7% | 8h | 2.9d ago · 85× | 36% ±23 | 65% ±23 | 20% ±19 | 15% ±17 | 17 | 14% ±7 | 34% ±23 | 49% ±40 | 54% ±69 | 6.0d | 2.61% | 0.62% | 101 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,288.23–4,416.1 (-1.3%) | 3.7 | 1.8% | 10h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 44% ±31 | 48% ±21 | 24% ±18 | 28% ±19 | 22 | 9% ±7 | 42% ±29 | 71% ±45 | 73% ±62 | 1.2d | 2.29% | 1.45% | 67 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,387.57 (-1.9%) | 5.5 | 1.9% | 11h | 2.9d ago · 59× | 14% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±14 | 30% ±32 | 50% ±49 | 6.7d | — | — | 151 → 4 |
| 30D POC | 4,299.51 (-3.9%) | 11 | 2.5% | 1.1d | 3.0d ago · 72× | 1% ±3 | 76% ±22 | 6% ±12 | 18% ±20 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 9% ±17 | 17% ±37 | > 7d | 3.52% | 0.53% | 172 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,273.19 (-4.5%) | 13 | 0.9% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 31× | 0% ±2 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 0% ±3 | 0% ±5 | > 7d | — | — | 244 → 6 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.