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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-21 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,674.33 (+4.5%) | 12 | 0.4% | 3h | 3.3d ago · 70× | 11% ±14 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±13 | 29% ±34 | 78% ±47 | 4.5d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 118 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,574.06 (+2.3%) | 6.3 | 1.3% | 8h | 21.4d ago · 44× | 11% ±13 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±13 | 30% ±34 | 54% ±56 | 6.5d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 131 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,551.88 (+1.8%) | 4.9 | 1.0% | 5h | 3.4d ago · 97× | 32% ±17 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 4% ±3 | 32% ±16 | 49% ±31 | 74% ±43 | 3.2d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 188 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,504.25–4,505.69 (+0.7%) | 2.0 | 2.0% | 16h | 3.2d ago · 104× | 58% ±31 | 46% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 47% ±20 | 24 | 18% ±9 | 54% ±29 | 75% ±42 | 90% ±41 | 21h | 2.13% | 1.60% | 66 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,472.36 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,438.39 (-0.8%) | 2.1 | 1.8% | 9h | 2.9d ago · 85× | 35% ±26 | 65% ±23 | 20% ±19 | 15% ±17 | 17 | 15% ±8 | 34% ±25 | 43% ±43 | 49% ±69 | > 7d | 2.61% | 0.62% | 84 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,288.23–4,416.1 (-1.3%) | 3.5 | 1.9% | 10h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 48% ±31 | 46% ±20 | 27% ±18 | 27% ±18 | 23 | 10% ±7 | 45% ±29 | 69% ±45 | 71% ±63 | 1.0d | 1.92% | 1.38% | 67 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,393.32 (-1.8%) | 4.9 | 2.0% | 11h | 2.9d ago · 59× | 20% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±3 | 20% ±17 | 40% ±36 | 58% ±56 | 4.9d | — | — | 126 → 3 |
| 30D POC | 4,299.51 (-3.9%) | 11 | 2.6% | 1.2d | 3.0d ago · 72× | 1% ±4 | 76% ±22 | 6% ±12 | 18% ±20 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 10% ±19 | 19% ±38 | > 7d | 3.52% | 0.53% | 171 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,273.19 (-4.5%) | 12 | 1.0% | 8h | 1.3d ago · 31× | 0% ±2 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 0% ±4 | 0% ±5 | > 7d | — | — | 235 → 6 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.