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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-22 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,833.29–4,900.26 (+15.3%) | 15 | 0.3% | 47m | 2.1d ago · 50× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±12 | 24% ±59 | 67% | 4.4d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 4,668.27 (+11.4%) | 11 | 1.4% | 13h | 3.5d ago · 70× | 11% ±13 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±12 | 33% ±32 | 75% ±42 | 4.5d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 152 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 4,574.95–4,591.26 (+9.2%) | 8.8 | 3.7% | 23h | 3.5d ago · 97× | 4% ±7 | 42% ±19 | 12% ±13 | 46% ±20 | 25 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 24% ±28 | 57% ±49 | 6.1d | 1.87% | 1.60% | 165 → 4 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,498.21–4,511.01 (+7.3%) | 7.0 | 5.2% | 1.8d | 3.3d ago · 104× | 8% ±19 | 46% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 47% ±20 | 24 | 2% ±4 | 8% ±17 | 31% ±52 | 77% | 4.3d | 2.13% | 1.60% | 51 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,418 (+5.4%) | 5.2 | 5.1% | 1.1d | 7.3d ago · 56× | 29% ±51 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 4% ±8 | 28% ±44 | 86% | 96% | 1.6d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 4,361.43 (+4.1%) | 3.9 | 5.7% | 1.4d | 23.1d ago · 46× | 35% ±54 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 5% ±11 | 35% ±54 | 95% | 95% | 1.4d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 4,302.27 (+2.7%) | 2.6 | 6.9% | 3.1d | 3.3d ago · 67× | 38% ±55 | 13% ±19 | 27% ±25 | 60% ±28 | 12 | 18% ±17 | 37% ±55 | 71% | 95% | 1.7d | 0.92% | 2.41% | 20 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,287.92–4,517.55 (+2.3%) | 2.2 | 5.6% | 2.3d | 1.3d ago · 83× | 48% ±31 | 60% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 13% ±8 | 47% ±31 | 56% ±56 | 58% | 1.3d | 2.14% | 1.55% | 60 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,278.35 (+2.1%) | 2.0 | 3.8% | 1.3d | 105.6d ago · 18× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 1 → 1 |
| at post · 4,190.36 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.