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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-22 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,833.29–4,900.26 (+16.1%) | 14 | 0.3% | 51m | 2.0d ago · 50× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 25% ±60 | 67% | 4.4d | — | — | 41 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 4,668.27 (+12.1%) | 11 | 1.5% | 14h | 3.4d ago · 70× | 11% ±12 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±12 | 32% ±31 | 75% ±43 | 4.5d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 154 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,604.1 (+10.6%) | 9.4 | 5.0% | 1.6d | 3.5d ago · 97× | 3% ±7 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 22% ±31 | 65% ±54 | 5.0d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 123 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,574.95 (+9.9%) | 8.8 | 4.0% | 1.0d | 21.5d ago · 44× | 4% ±8 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 24% ±28 | 51% ±49 | 6.9d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 166 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 4,511.01 (+8.4%) | 7.4 | 5.5% | 1.9d | 3.3d ago · 79× | 11% ±31 | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±6 | 11% ±27 | 37% ±67 | 97% | 3.6d | 2.02% | 1.85% | 29 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 4,485.38 (+7.7%) | 6.9 | 6.0% | 2.4d | 3.3d ago · 104× | 6% ±16 | 56% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 37% ±19 | 24 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±15 | 27% ±50 | 63% | 5.1d | 2.20% | 1.44% | 53 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,418 (+6.1%) | 5.4 | 5.4% | 1.2d | 7.3d ago · 56× | 30% ±52 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 4% ±8 | 29% ±45 | 91% | 96% | 1.6d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 4,361.43 (+4.8%) | 4.2 | 6.1% | 1.5d | 23.0d ago · 46× | 33% ±65 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 6% ±11 | 32% ±53 | 94% | 94% | 1.4d | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 4,302.27 (+3.3%) | 3.0 | 7.3% | 3.2d | 3.3d ago · 67× | 42% ±48 | 13% ±19 | 27% ±25 | 60% ±28 | 12 | 18% ±15 | 41% ±48 | 77% | 96% | 1.5d | 0.92% | 2.41% | 26 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,287.92–4,517.55 (+3.0%) | 2.7 | 5.9% | 2.5d | 1.3d ago · 83× | 47% ±31 | 60% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 11% ±8 | 46% ±31 | 51% ±57 | 53% | 1.8d | 2.14% | 1.55% | 60 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,278.35 (+2.8%) | 2.5 | 4.1% | 1.4d | 105.5d ago · 18× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
| at post · 4,163 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.